Wednesday, December 24, 2025

2026 Predictions

Hello fellow investors,


Well, it’s that time of year again. Another year has nearly come and gone, and as usual, it flew by. Hopefully you all made some money along the way. As is tradition for me, this is the time to reflect on the year that was and lay out my expectations and predictions for the year ahead.


But before jumping into my 2026 market predictions, I want to briefly revisit the calls I made for 2025. I do this every year for one simple reason: accountability. Anyone can make bold predictions looking forward. Far fewer are willing to look back and openly discuss what worked, what didn’t, and why. That’s one of my biggest criticisms of many so-called experts you see on CNBC. Plenty of them spent the last three or four years calling for a recession, got it wrong, and yet were never exactly eager to admit it. 


Last year, I warned that despite optimism, 2025 would not be a straight line up. After two consecutive strong years for equities, I expected volatility, concentration in a few winners, and a meaningful pullback in the first half of the year. That call turned out to be directionally correct.


What I Got Really Right in 2025


First, the pullback.

I predicted a significant cyclical pullback early in the year, likely triggered by macro or geopolitical stress. That is exactly what happened. The market sold off sharply in the first half of the year, initially driven by renewed China concerns, DeepSeek related shocks, and later intensified by tariffs. Sentiment flipped quickly from optimism to fear, testing investor conviction. For me, this was a clear buy the dip moment as I was bullish on big tech, and I did exactly that when it happened. 


Second, Palantir.

I stayed bullish on PLTR even after a massive run, arguing that the market was underestimating the software phase of the AI revolution and Palantir’s unique positioning. That also played out. PLTR continued higher, supported not only by commercial execution, but by its deepening relationship with the US administration. Government ties, defense priorities, and efficiency initiatives all acted as tailwinds exactly as expected.


Where I Was Wrong


I also want to be very clear about where I missed. I was right about currency debasement emerging as a dominant macro theme, but I was wrong about which asset would benefit the most. I expected Bitcoin to be the primary beneficiary of the debasement trade. Instead, gold, and even silver, led the move, pushing to new all time highs. Bitcoin and most Bitcoin related assets ultimately underperformed throughout 2025.


How did I do overall in 2025?


While the broader market is up roughly 18% year to date, my portfolio is up about 77% year to date. So it was the third year in a row of nearly 80% annual gains. I am not complaining. 



I am not sharing this to pat myself on the back, but to frame how I think about markets. I am not a permabull. I am not a doomer. I focus on cycles, incentives, capital flows, and where narratives eventually collide with reality. 2025 reinforced several core beliefs I carry into 2026:


  1. Volatility creates opportunity

  2. Capital concentrates into winners

  3. Macro shocks matter more than narratives

  4. And most importantly, being mostly right is more than enough if risk is managed properly


With that context, we can now look forward.


Below are my market predictions for 2026, shaped directly by what 2025 taught us.


My Market Predictions for 2026


Going into 2026, I see a market shaped less by optimism and more by pressure, adaptation, and capital migration. This will not be a smooth year, but it will be a very investable one if you understand where the stress points are and where money is likely to flow.


Global Events That Will Drive 2026 Market Sentiment


In my view, the single biggest driver of global market sentiment in 2026 will be Europe, and unfortunately, the story will not be a positive one.


I expect a deepening European debt crisis, with France at the center. This will dominate headlines on CNBC and Bloomberg and weigh on global markets, drawing comparisons to earlier sovereign stress episodes like the Greek debt crisis. In France’s case, the issue is structural rather than cyclical. Public spending has climbed to nearly 60 percent of GDP, crowding out the private sector and suppressing growth. Across the broader eurozone, I expect economic growth to remain weak. As yields rise and confidence deteriorates, capital will continue to leave Europe in search of stability, weakening the euro, strengthening the US dollar, and reinforcing the US as a relative safe haven for global capital.


At the same time, I believe the Russia-Ukraine war finally comes to an end. This would be a meaningful shift for markets. Energy, fertilizer, wheat, and natural gas prices should fall materially once peace is established. While this does not resolve Europe’s underlying debt and governance problems, it does provide real deflationary relief on the cost side, particularly for households and industrial producers.


The interaction of these two forces creates an unusual setup. Monetary inflation driven by ECB intervention collides with commodity driven deflation following the end of the war. This tension is likely to produce elevated volatility, but also clear opportunities for investors who understand the drivers.


As sovereign stress increases, the ECB will be forced to print, keeping inflation elevated even as growth slows. Unemployment across the eurozone is likely to rise further, especially as automation accelerates and corporate margins come under pressure. Even with lower energy costs, Europe will struggle to restore confidence.


This is not a call for collapse, but it is a call for continued underperformance. I expect European equities to lag US markets again in 2026.


The United States and Equity Markets


Despite elevated global stress, I expect US equities to perform relatively well. There will be political headwinds, including renewed uncertainty around tariff policy following the upcoming Supreme Court decision and the risk of another government shutdown in the first quarter. Even so, the US remains far more attractive from a growth and capital allocation standpoint than any other major region.


I see the Nasdaq delivering roughly a 5 to 10 percent return in 2026. This will not be driven by multiple expansion, but by margin expansion. AI, automation, and software driven efficiency continue to push profitability higher, particularly among large technology companies. Importantly, I expect these AI driven efficiencies to begin spreading beyond tech into sectors like financials and healthcare, where cost structures are ripe for disruption.


Monetary policy will add to this volatile growth backdrop. A newly appointed Fed chair (potentially Kevin Hassett), is likely to pursue a more accommodative stance, pushing rates lower in an effort to support growth and align with political pressure from the Trump administration.


At the same time, rising unemployment will increasingly become a political issue. AI driven job displacement will accelerate, and governments will respond in familiar fashion, through fiscal spending. I expect the US to roll out targeted programs and funding aimed at workers displaced by automation. This should act as a short term stabilizer for consumption, while further widening the gap between asset owners and wage earners.


The Biggest Industry of 2026


I’m calling it now.. I expect 2026 to be the year Wall Street fully wakes up to the energy trade. As AI adoption accelerates and data center capacity continues to scale, media coverage will increasingly focus on a basic but unavoidable constraint: computing power requires electricity, and far more of it than most investors currently appreciate. This is a is a real, physical bottleneck that will shape capital allocation decisions across markets.


Not all energy sources are equally suited to meet this demand. Intermittent generation alone will not be enough. The market will begin to distinguish between energy sources that can provide reliable, scalable base load power and those that cannot. This is where nuclear, solar, and natural gas stand out. Nuclear offers long term, carbon free base load generation. Natural gas provides flexibility and reliability during peak demand. Solar continues to benefit from falling costs and improved efficiency, especially when paired with storage and grid upgrades.


As this reality becomes more widely understood, I expect a meaningful rotation of capital into energy equities. These companies move from being viewed as legacy or cyclical plays to becoming critical infrastructure providers for the AI and electrification era. In that environment, energy stocks are positioned to become some of the strongest performers in the market.


AI, data centers, electrification, and reshoring all require dependable power at scale. The market has spent years obsessing over software and semiconductors. In 2026, it starts pricing in the energy layer that makes all of it possible.


I will be doing a deeper dive into specific energy investments I plan to make, so stay tuned for that in the coming weeks.


How Will My High Conviction Trades Perform?


In my view, the AI trade is far from over, but it is clearly entering a new phase. What began as a narrow, Nvidia driven hardware rally several years ago is now spreading across adjacent industries and the infrastructure that supports them, exactly as I outlined earlier. As this transition continues, I expect renewed attention and controversy around OpenAI, particularly as valuation discussions intensify ahead of any potential IPO. If that process moves forward, it will likely reignite speculation across the broader AI complex, influencing sentiment around Nvidia, Google, Palantir, and the data center ecosystem as a whole. We are talking about a potential trillion dollar valuation for a company reportedly generating around 20 billion dollars in annualized revenue. That alone will be enough to fuel debate, regardless of how the numbers ultimately shake out.


As a result, 2026 will almost certainly be marked by heavy IPO hype around names like OpenAI and SpaceX, both widely rumored to be preparing for public listings. While these are undeniably world class companies, I have little interest in participating at public market valuations that are likely to price in years of flawless execution. History has not been kind to investors who buy into peak enthusiasm.


Instead, I believe more grounded, enterprise focused IPOs could quietly outperform. Two companies I am watching closely are Databricks and ClickHouse. Both operate deeper in the data and infrastructure layer of the AI stack, and in my view offer a more attractive risk adjusted profile than the highly publicized consumer and platform stories.


At the same time, hyperscalers will continue to consolidate power. Scale, capital, and access to compute matter more than ever. As AI infrastructure becomes increasingly capital intensive, smaller players will struggle to compete, further reinforcing the dominance of the largest technology platforms.


When it comes to my three largest positions, here is how I see them setting up in 2026.


  • NVDA: Reaches new all time highs as demand for its chips remains relentless. The TPU scare ultimately proves insignificant, and Nvidia continues to sit at the center of the AI buildout. The company remains the primary enabler of large scale model training and inference, and I see the stock pushing toward $250 in 2026. 

  • PLTR: Stabilizes around the 200 level for much of the year. This is not a parabolic move, but a maturation phase. Palantir transitions from a momentum driven trade into a core AI infrastructure holding, supported by sustained commercial growth and expanding government demand. Volatility will remain, with potential ranges between $150 and $250, but I expect the stock to settle in the low $200s as the business grows into its valuation.

  • NBIS: This is my higher beta conviction and I have covered this stock extensively on my YouTube channel. I expect Nebius to reach $200 in 2026 as more of its Token Factory software gains traction and its data center buildout becomes real, not theoretical. They will announce new data center builds across the US and Europe and this is where the market will reward execution. Their projected revenue for 2026 looks amazing and I am also expecting NBIS to be rewarded significantly during the IPO process of Clickhouse as NBIS currently owns a 28% stake in them. Considering this is currently trading under $100 per share I am expecting this to at least double in 2026. 


The Currency Debasement Trade


When it comes to the currency debasement trade, I expect gold to continue grinding higher, particularly during periods of market stress tied to European debt concerns, renewed tariff tensions, and the risk of another government shutdown. Lowering rates and a return to quantitative easing in the US, and potentially in the eurozone, should further support gold as a hedge during bouts of volatility.


As for Bitcoin, I expect it to rebound and move back above $100,000 early in the year, largely tracking strength in the Nasdaq and broader risk assets. As liquidity conditions improve, Bitcoin is likely to once again behave as a high beta expression of risk appetite rather than a traditional safe haven. Over time, it can still benefit from the broader currency debasement narrative, but 2025 made one thing clear: Bitcoin does not trade like gold. Gold remains the true defensive hedge, while Bitcoin functions more as a speculative, liquidity sensitive asset that thrives when financial conditions ease.


Final Thoughts


2026 is unlikely to feel comfortable. It will be choppy, noisy, and defined by elevated volatility. As more retail traders gravitate toward options and leveraged strategies, and as markets like the Nasdaq move toward extended trading hours, price swings are likely to become even more pronounced, especially in the high beta AI names like Palantir, Nebius and Tesla among others. 


If that environment feels overwhelming, there is nothing wrong with keeping things simple. Dollar cost averaging into broad based ETFs like SPY or QQQ remains a perfectly sensible approach for most investors. 


For those who kept their composure and performed well in 2025, however, this type of market can present real opportunity. Staying stoic, calm, and disciplined in the face of volatility is often where the true edge is found. And if you are a stock picker like me, you should be able to use these swings to accumulate high conviction names at attractive prices.


I wish you all great health and wealth in the New Year.

Thursday, June 19, 2025

Why Nuclear Power Could Be the Best Investment of the Next Decade

If you’re paying close attention to global trends, it’s clear that artificial intelligence, robotics, data centers, and electric vehicles (EVs) are radically transforming global energy demands. The rapid expansion of this technological infrastructure means we are poised to consume an unprecedented amount of electricity.

To meet this surging demand sustainably, we need a reliable, consistent, and carbon-free energy source. 

Nuclear power stands out as the ideal solution.

Why Nuclear? Recent Global Events Prove the Point.

To illustrate this, consider the contrasting approaches of Germany and France in recent years:

In 2023, Germany shut down its remaining nuclear reactors, fulfilling a long-term objective of the Green Party to rely primarily on solar and wind energy. Unfortunately, this decision quickly turned problematic. Electricity prices surged dramatically, exceeding €200 per megawatt-hour, due largely to "Dunkelflaute", extended periods of low wind and minimal sunlight. Germany’s famously gray skies unsurprisingly hindered solar power generation, forcing the country to restart coal plants and become a net importer of electricity. The transition was disastrous and contributed to economic strain, highlighting Germany’s troubling trend of energy mismanagement, alongside previous decisions such as relying heavily on Russian gas and controversial immigration policies.

In stark contrast, France doubled down on nuclear power in 2023. The result? France now boasts the lowest electricity costs in the European Union and has even started exporting electricity to Germany to help alleviate its neighbor’s shortages.

Recognizing this reliable supply of clean and affordable nuclear energy, NVIDIA has announced plans to construct Europe's largest data center in France by 2028.

Additionally, the World Bank recently lifted its ban on nuclear energy funding, further validating nuclear power’s pivotal role in the future energy landscape. Other nations have noticed France’s success: Denmark and Belgium have both removed bans on nuclear energy, signaling a shift towards embracing nuclear power. Similarly, Poland has partnered with the American firm Westinghouse, partly owned by uranium giant Cameco, to develop its nuclear energy capabilities.

Firmly believe that nuclear energy represents one of the strongest investment opportunities today. Global power demands will inevitably drive governments and corporations toward nuclear solutions, making this a high-conviction play for forward-thinking investors.

Here’s how you can tap into the nuclear energy trend through carefully selected stocks and ETFs:

Top Stocks for Nuclear Energy Exposure

1. $CCJ - Cameco Corp.

Cameco Corporation, headquartered in Canada, is the largest publicly traded uranium producer in the world. The company engages in the exploration, mining, refining, conversion, and sale of uranium. With strategic long-term supply contracts and vertically integrated operations spanning multiple continents, Cameco is ideally positioned to benefit from rising uranium prices and increased global nuclear energy demand.

2. $CEG - Constellation Energy

Constellation Energy is a premier American energy provider and operates the largest fleet of nuclear power plants in the United States. It specializes in carbon-free power generation, primarily nuclear, and also provides clean energy solutions across wind, solar, and hydroelectric sectors. Constellation’s extensive nuclear fleet and stable energy contracts make it a leading player in the transition to a low-carbon economy.

3. $LEU - Centrus Energy Corp.

Centrus Energy Corporation is an American company specializing in uranium enrichment and the development of advanced nuclear fuels critical for next-generation reactors. It plays a pivotal role in supplying enriched uranium products and services to commercial nuclear power plants and government clients. Centrus is strategically positioned to benefit from rising demand for advanced reactor fuels and new nuclear technologies, particularly small modular reactors (SMRs).

4. $SMR - Nuscale Power Corp

NuScale Power Corporation is a pioneering American firm specializing in the design and commercialization of Small Modular Reactors (SMRs). NuScale’s SMRs offer significant advantages over traditional nuclear reactors, including enhanced safety, lower initial capital requirements, scalability, and simplified construction and operation. As the first company to receive U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission certification for an SMR design, NuScale is strategically positioned to benefit significantly as countries and utilities look to adopt flexible nuclear solutions for cleaner energy production.

Growth & Risk Considerations:

Cameco ($CCJ) and Centrus ($LEU) provide direct exposure to uranium and nuclear fuel markets, aligning closely with commodity price movements. Cameco is lower-risk due to its size and market position, whereas Centrus is more specialized but offers substantial upside potential.

Constellation ($CEG) provides stability through regulated markets, regular cash flows, and dividend potential, appealing to more conservative investors seeking consistent returns. Meta’s investment and agreement with Constellation ($CEG) underscores increasing corporate validation of nuclear energy as a clean power solution.

NuScale ($SMR) represents the highest risk-reward scenario, as it focuses on a new and potentially revolutionary technology, providing substantial upside but also higher uncertainty. NuScale’s regulatory milestones position it strongly to benefit from future government and corporate adoption of innovative nuclear technologies. 

Best ETFs for Broad Nuclear Exposure

Global X Uranium ETF ($URA)

The Global X Uranium ETF offers investors targeted exposure to uranium mining, exploration, and nuclear energy companies worldwide. Designed to leverage rising uranium prices and increasing nuclear energy adoption, URA provides comprehensive coverage of the uranium sector with an international focus.

Key Holdings:

  • Cameco Corp. (CCJ) – World's largest publicly traded uranium producer.
  • NAC Kazatomprom (KAP.LI) – World's largest uranium producer based in Kazakhstan.
  • NexGen Energy Ltd. (NXE) – Major Canadian uranium exploration and development company.
  • Denison Mines Corp. (DNN) – Prominent Canadian uranium mining firm.
  • Energy Fuels Inc. (UUUU) – Leading U.S.-based uranium miner and processor.

VanEck Uranium+Nuclear Energy ETF ($NLR)

VanEck’s Uranium+Nuclear Energy ETF provides balanced exposure to the broader nuclear energy sector, including uranium miners, nuclear power plant operators, and supporting infrastructure providers. NLR aims to deliver stability and dividend potential through diversified investments, making it suitable for investors looking to tap into nuclear energy with moderated risk.

Key Holdings:

  • Constellation Energy Corp. (CEG) – Largest U.S. nuclear power plant operator.
  • Cameco Corp. (CCJ) – Leading global uranium producer.
  • Public Service Enterprise Group (PEG) – Prominent U.S. utility company with significant nuclear generation assets.
  • Dominion Energy Inc. (D) – Major utility company with nuclear facilities in the United States.
  • Kansai Electric Power Co. (9503.JP) – Leading Japanese utility and nuclear operator.

Which ETF is right for you?

The Global X Uranium ETF (URA) is more concentrated in uranium mining and exploration companies, offering higher potential upside but also greater volatility, especially tied to uranium prices. In contrast, the VanEck Uranium+Nuclear Energy ETF (NLR) takes a more diversified approach by including nuclear utilities and infrastructure providers, resulting in lower volatility and more stable dividend yields.

From a cost perspective, URA has a higher expense ratio of 0.69%, while NLR is slightly more cost-efficient at 0.61%. Over the past 5 years, URA has generally outperformed NLR during periods of rising uranium prices, but NLR has provided more consistent returns and income due to its exposure to regulated utilities. Investors seeking growth may prefer URA, while those looking for stability and income may lean toward NLR..

Investment Outlook

The surge in AI, cloud computing, and data centers guarantees that global electricity demand will rise sharply in the coming years. Recognizing this, tech giants including Amazon, Google, and Meta have publicly supported a recent pledge, led by the World Nuclear Association, calling for nuclear energy capacity worldwide to triple by 2050.

Of course, I'm fully aware of the historical concerns around nuclear power. Born in Eastern Europe in 1986 (the very year of the Chernobyl disaster), I understand firsthand the lingering fears and stigma associated with nuclear energy. Events like Chernobyl and Fukushima have understandably created caution around nuclear technology.

However, the nuclear landscape today is vastly different. Significant technological advancements and rigorous safety standards have dramatically improved the safety and reliability of nuclear reactors. Modern designs, such as Small Modular Reactors (SMRs), promise unprecedented levels of safety, efficiency, and scalability.

As stigmas begin to fade with growing awareness of these improvements, nuclear power is increasingly viewed as an essential, safe, and sustainable part of the world's energy future. For forward-looking investors, positioning in nuclear energy now presents an extraordinary opportunity.

Ultimately, nuclear isn't just another investment, it's a strategic opportunity to capitalize on a transformative global shift driven by technology, policy, and climate considerations.


Friday, June 13, 2025

Is Apple Still a Smart Investment in 2025?

Apple ($AAPL) has long been a favorite of investors.. and for good reason. Over the past decade, the stock has delivered over 500% returns, cementing its place as one of the most successful investments of the modern era.

But 2025 is a different story. Year-to-date, AAPL is down nearly 20%, and its latest product announcements have fallen flat with both consumers and the market. Naturally, this leads many to ask me the same question:
"Is Apple still worth owning?"

The answer, as with most things in investing, isn’t a simple yes or no. It depends on what you’re looking for.


The Innovation Question
One of the most common criticisms from Apple bears is: “Does this company even innovate anymore?”

This week’s WWDC 2025 didn’t do much to silence those critics. The software updates were largely cosmetic refinements to the user interface, rather than groundbreaking changes. One useful feature was live translation for calls and texts, but even that felt more like catch-up than innovation. Many competitors already offer similar tools.


What’s more disappointing is the lack of emphasis on Apple Intelligence. Back in early 2024, I predicted Apple would make a major push to integrate AI into its hardware, triggering a potential new growth cycle. That never happened.. at least, not in a meaningful way.

Liquid Metal - preparing us for Apple Glasses?

We now know Apple officially abandoned its car project over a year ago. That stung. A car would have been a bold, fresh product line, even though we can all agree it would have been very risky. Chinese smart phone manufacturer Xiaomi has pivoted to making cars, so who's to say Apple couldn't do the same?

Instead of a car, Apple pivoted to the Vision Pro headset, which has been underwhelming to say the least. It’s heavy, awkward, and expensive. Also, based on user feedback, many early adopters regret their purchase.

Now Apple is teasing a new design language called Liquid Glass, which may hint at something more promising, perhaps a sleek pair of AR glasses, akin to Meta’s Ray-Ban smart glasses. Now the Liquid Metal connection to glasses is only a rumor, but it sounds good, doesn't it? We at least know that according to reports from Bloomberg, Tim Cook has made beating Meta to market with consumer-friendly AR glasses a top priority.

Could this be the next breakthrough product that reinvigorates Apple’s innovation cycle? Maybe. If they can combine functionality (translation, maps, music) with Apple’s signature design, it could resonate. But that's still a big “if.”

The Ecosystem Still Matters

Despite the lack of innovation, one thing hasn’t changed: the strength of Apple’s ecosystem.

Like many other iPhone, I’m not switching to Android anytime soon. My photos, apps, and data are all in iCloud. The hassle of migrating away keeps me, and millions of others, locked in. That network effect is powerful and valuable.

But here’s the issue: Is that worth a 30x P/E ratio?

For a company growing at low single digits, the valuation looks stretched. Apple isn’t likely to lose its loyal base, but the days of frequent hardware upgrades are behind us. Without a new and exciting product to fuel growth, it’s hard to justify the premium valuation.

What I’m Doing with My Apple Shares

I’m not buying more Apple stock right now, but I’m not selling any of my shares either.

Most of my position was built aggressively between 2010 and 2019. It’s been a great investment. But with growth slowing and little near-term excitement, I’m content holding my shares and using them to generate cash flow through options.

Specifically, I sell covered calls on my AAPL shares, collecting monthly premiums. That earned income goes straight into buying my high-conviction stocks.. like $NBIS or $HIMS, for example.

Interestingly, Goldman Sachs maintains a Buy rating on AAPL, with a $253 price target. They’re bullish on an upcoming iPhone replacement cycle in 2025–2027, which they believe could reignite demand.

That may play out, but for now, I prefer to be cautious and income-focused.

Final Thoughts

Apple may not be the innovation powerhouse it once was, but it's still one of the most successful companies in the world and the numbers prove it.

In 2024 alone, AirPods generated an estimated $22 billion in revenue. To put that in perspective, that’s more than Spotify’s total revenue and almost as much as Block (Square) made across all its platforms. AirPods, a single product line, is outperforming entire companies.

But it’s a mature business that priced like a high growth company.. and that’s the issue.

If you’re looking for massive upside, this may not be the best time to load up on AAPL. But if you already own it, using the stock to generate income while watching for signs of a real innovation cycle is, in my opinion, a smart play.

Let’s see if those AR glasses become Apple’s next iPhone moment or just another Vision Pro flop.


Thursday, June 5, 2025

Market Update: Big Moves Incoming? What I'm Buying Next.

Hello fellow investors,

Honestly, it’s hard to know where to begin since there’s just so much happening right now. With Donald Trump back, the markets are reacting to each of his online posts like clockwork, swinging sharply with every statement or controversy. The political noise is adding a layer of volatility, but despite the drama, here we are: six months into the year, and markets are back in the green. It’s a testament to how resilient and unpredictable this environment continues to be.

At the start of the year, I predicted we’d end 2025 with modest gains of around 5%, pushing the S&P 500 toward the 6,200 mark. So far, that trajectory seems well within reach, and I believe we’re still on track to grow into that number.

But some believe we could go even higher. Fundstrat’s Tom Lee, a well-known market bull who’s been uncannily accurate over the past few years, sees even more upside. He’s calling for a potential 10% surge from current levels, especially if the Fed follows through with a rate cut. Lee is particularly bullish on the current setup, citing strong technicals and a favorable macro backdrop.

Is it possible? Absolutely. In this kind of market, momentum is a powerful force especially if sentiment shifts further on policy, we could very well overshoot expectations.

So what's going on with my high conviction picks? Here's my June update. 

$PLTR

This week, The New York Times released what can only be described as a politically motivated hit piece on Palantir. The article criticized the company for its access to vast datasets on corporations and individuals—as if that’s somehow surprising or scandalous. But let’s be clear: Palantir isn’t harvesting consumer data. They work with data sets provided to them by governments and enterprises—and unlike Big Tech peers like Google, Meta, or Amazon, they don’t even have a consumer-facing product.

So why single them out? Possibly because Palantir just secured a billion-dollar contract from the Trump administration. When the Obama administration used Palantir to fight human trafficking, there wasn’t a peep. But now that the political winds have shifted, they’re suddenly a threat? It’s a selective outrage that doesn’t hold up under scrutiny.

Thankfully, the market saw through the noise. Investors shrugged off the hit piece and sent PLTR to an all-time high, recognizing the company’s growing strategic relevance. 

If momentum holds and the contract pipeline stays strong, a $150 price target is well within reach this year. And looking further ahead.. $300 within the next two years isn’t just possible, it’s increasingly likely. You're welcome. 

$HIMS 

Hims just made a bold move by expanding into Europe through the acquisition of Zava. It is exciting to see them execute on their global expansion strategy so decisively. The company has been all over the news lately and is now among the most shorted stocks on Wall Street. That, frankly, makes little sense.

This is a company that has more than doubled its revenue since last year, increased its customer base by over 40 percent, and tripled its EBITDA. And yet it is being heavily shorted. The disconnect between fundamentals and sentiment is striking.

If momentum continues and short interest remains elevated, there is real potential for a short squeeze that could push HIMS toward the $75 range in the short term.

$NBIS 

Nebius is on an impressive run, and it is not just hype. In the latest MLPerf Training v5.0 benchmarks, the company delivered outstanding results that position it as a serious player in the AI infrastructure space. Competing alongside major industry names like NVIDIA, Google Cloud, and Oracle, Nebius proved it belongs in the conversation.

The company delivered top-tier performance in large-scale model training, demonstrating its strength in high-performance computing. Its cloud platform also showed exceptional scalability and efficiency, managing massive datasets and complex AI workloads with ease. This level of capability is exactly what enterprises need to power modern AI applications.

These achievements position $NBIS as a strong and credible alternative to traditional hyperscalers. It offers organizations tailored solutions that prioritize performance, scalability, and cost-efficiency.

Analysts are starting to catch on. Arete’s Andrew Beale recently initiated coverage with a Buy rating and an $84 price target. That implies more than one hundred percent upside from current levels. Nebius may still be under the radar for many investors, but that window is closing fast.

$SOFI

SoFi continues to fly under the radar, which is exactly what makes it so compelling right now. With an increase in volume and revenue expected in Q2, the company is showing steady operational momentum that many investors are still overlooking.

While artificial intelligence and mega-cap tech dominate headlines, fintech remains out of favor, giving long-term investors a rare opportunity to accumulate quality names like SoFi at a discount. The market is not pricing in the upside potential here, and that creates a clear edge.

Management has been transparent in their guidance. They have consistently said that 2025 is a foundational year, a period focused on setting up for the next phase of growth. The real story begins in 2026 and 2027, where they expect substantial gains in earnings, revenue, and services.

At today’s levels, the stock offers a strong entry point ahead of that breakout phase. Investors who understand the setup and are willing to hold through the noise may be rewarded in a big way.

$BTC

Tom Lee recently suggested that Bitcoin could reach $200,000 per coin this year. While I am not quite that bullish, I would not be surprised to see Bitcoin start moving aggressively in that direction.

That may sound extreme right now, but the macro setup is shifting fast. Trump’s latest economic bill looks like it could fuel inflation, especially with his push for lower interest rates at the same time. It feels fiscally irresponsible, particularly after the administration made efforts to cut spending through initiatives like DOGE.

If the government starts printing more money while also lowering interest rates, it creates a real risk of currency debasement. In that kind of environment, people move their capital into assets that hold value.

From my perspective, this will drive more demand for gold and Bitcoin. Both represent a way to protect purchasing power when fiat loses credibility. Bitcoin may once again prove to be the smartest place to be when policy becomes reckless.

I'm looking for my next big investment

I’ll be sharing a full post soon on what I believe could be my next major investment opportunity, but here’s a preview. The theme is simple: selling shovels during a gold rush.

You’ve probably heard the saying before. During the California Gold Rush, the real winners were not the miners chasing gold, but the ones selling them shovels. That mindset has led many investors to companies like NVIDIA and Palantir, which are building the tools powering the AI revolution.

But what if we zoom out even further? What powers the tools that power AI? The answer is energy. Electricity. Infrastructure. And increasingly, nuclear power.

As demand for AI and data centers explodes, so will the need for high-capacity, stable, and clean energy. This is not just about investing in AI itself. It is about investing in what makes AI possible.

Stay tuned. My next post will dive deeper into this opportunity.



Friday, May 23, 2025

$NBIS Up 30% — And Why I Just Bought 700 Shares of $SOFI

The trade I made on $NBIS back in early May has started to show strong results. The stock is already up over 30% since my purchase, and I want to give credit to anyone who followed me on that move. It’s always rewarding to see research-backed conviction pay off.

But I am not cashing in just yet. I continue to hold $NBIS as an infrastructure bet on the future of AI. I believe the company is well-positioned in a rapidly expanding space, and I plan to stay invested for at least the next 12 months or possibly longer depending on how the landscape evolves.

A New Addition: $SOFI

Outside of that, I haven’t made too many moves lately but mostly because I was away on vacation. However, I did take a position earlier this week: 700 shares of $SOFI at $13.50/share.

Unfortunately, I may have mistimed this move by a day, as it looks like the markets will pull back in response to renewed tariff threats from President Trump, this time targeting the European Union with a proposed 50% tariff (rolls eyes). This kind of geopolitical headline risk tends to spook the markets short term, but it also creates attractive entry points for investors who can look beyond the noise.

Right now, $SOFI is trading in the $12–13 range, and I see it as a compelling opportunity.

Why I’m Bullish on SoFi

SoFi (Social Finance) is not your traditional bank. It’s a digital-first, asset-light financial platform built for scale. Here’s what stood out to me:

  • End-to-end financial services: loans, mortgages, credit cards, and investing all in one app.

  • Lead monetization model: instead of turning customers away, SoFi sells leads to partners and collects fees, minimizing credit risk while still profiting from user demand.

  • Asset-light strategy: the digital model allows SoFi to scale rapidly without the cost burden of a physical branch network.

  • Explosive member growth: from 3.4 million in 2021 to 10.9 million in 2025, representing a 52% CAGR.

  • Ambitious long-term goal: aiming for 50 million members by 2035, which would position it in the same tier as major U.S. banks.

Let’s put it in perspective:

BankMarket Cap
JPMorgan Chase (JPM)$700B
Bank of America (BAC)$313B
Wells Fargo (WFC)$238B
SoFi$15B

The upside potential here is massive especially when you factor in their relatively small market cap today.

Leadership Matters

Leadership is another reason I’m confident in SoFi’s vision. We all know I love growing companies with charasmatic leaders, (like Karp at PLTR) and SoFi's  CEO, Tony Noto (what a name!) brings deep experience, having served as:

  • Managing Director at Goldman Sachs

  • CFO of the NFL

  • COO of Twitter

This is a team that understands both finance and tech, and that’s a rare but powerful combination in the fintech world.

The Risk: Profitability Still in Progress

To be clear, SoFi isn’t without challenges:

  • Revenue is strong, but they’re still in investment mode, spending heavily on growth.

  • Net income remains low, but that’s not unusual for a company aggressively scaling in a competitive space.

That said, if they continue to execute and hit their goal of 50 million members, I believe $SOFI has 10x potential over the next decade.

Final Thoughts

Right now, I’m not rushing into many new positions. But $SOFI felt like the right opportunity at the right time, especially with the market giving us a temporary discount due to macro headlines.

As always, I’ll keep you updated as new opportunities emerge.